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zhanghaze


Total Posts: 14
Joined: Jul 2009
 
Posted: 2012-06-25 19:55
For an general arma time series mode, what's the optimal trading strategy? I know for AR(1) it is solved, what about in general case? Any papers on this? Thanks.

Godzilla


Total Posts: 25
Joined: Sep 2008
 
Posted: 2012-08-03 00:49
financial time-series do not conform to a restrictive parametric model such as ARx. As such you are asking the wrong question

jslade


Total Posts: 745
Joined: Feb 2007
 
Posted: 2012-08-03 08:31
While this isn't exactly an answer to the question: the wholesale electricity markets have underlying demand curves that are ARIMAX (the X being weather). Some of the renewable deliverables (wind, solar) are also ARIMAX.
I bet if you dug in the literature for this world, someone's figured it out there. They probably call it something else though, and it probably relates to energy storage facilities.

"Learning, n. The kind of ignorance distinguishing the studious."
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